Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 240.580969 271.105453 304.945516 345.409238 392.692803 446.458147 512.589602
2025-03-30 190.526888 229.428944 276.282807 337.502152 416.316151 515.663303 652.461261
2025-04-06 165.382571 207.714872 261.491950 336.001355 438.464903 577.322692 784.916264
2025-04-13 142.415432 184.511159 240.153387 320.757117 437.414634 604.853152 872.535935
2025-04-20 133.527182 178.219557 239.602956 332.496361 473.987841 689.324062 1058.596587
2025-04-27 127.008544 174.100203 241.058214 346.533819 515.036663 786.196070 1284.172913
2025-05-04 118.045372 165.369986 234.599585 347.353384 534.888776 851.514951 1469.154512
2025-05-11 108.083887 154.131145 223.085734 338.551911 537.229607 886.733111 1605.397294
2025-05-18 99.930270 144.846666 213.573113 331.668653 541.469560 925.300937 1756.063649
2025-05-25 96.377607 142.284132 214.258685 341.639727 576.454702 1026.278214 2061.499889
2025-06-01 91.045660 136.439272 209.045927 340.723430 591.088240 1089.829550 2300.406877
2025-06-08 85.299451 129.472908 201.349376 334.486368 594.564191 1130.898345 2496.704984
2025-06-15 81.227700 125.069608 197.794165 335.766522 613.761571 1210.514966 2818.791360
2025-06-22 76.163155 118.665828 190.304207 328.963581 615.737695 1252.822691 3056.703464
2025-06-29 72.416316 114.214479 185.842417 327.411518 628.382070 1321.946394 3394.051094
2025-07-06 67.037966 106.606771 175.179215 312.654186 610.503258 1314.546480 3499.147947
2025-07-13 65.845452 106.201880 177.503482 324.026455 652.165509 1463.529856 4159.243184
2025-07-20 64.989586 106.314954 180.759629 337.622936 701.053475 1642.842581 5008.898580
2025-07-27 62.548409 103.403907 178.076816 338.416598 719.619896 1743.867674 5621.820642
2025-08-03 59.168084 98.575077 171.374322 329.892355 714.108175 1775.062504 5974.060978
2025-08-10 56.250402 94.440512 165.750311 323.224769 712.443040 1817.669154 6397.964995
2025-08-17 55.348368 94.010589 167.375418 332.883095 754.373087 2004.182310 7574.833874
2025-08-24 53.369680 91.425712 164.503619 331.995626 768.195338 2104.790471 8408.467617